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Changing Commute Patterns

San Francisco Bay Area and Northern California, 1980-2000

 

Prepared by Chuck Purvis, Metropolitan Transportation Commission, March 21, 2003

 

The following sections discuss relevant information about county-to-county commute patterns within the San Francisco Bay Area, and between the Bay Area and neighboring counties. The focus is on individual counties as opposed to groupings of counties. Tables show the ranking of the top five or top ten county-to-county worker flows based on various characteristics. This data is based on decennial census data for 1980, 1990 and 2000, including the Census 2000 data released March 2003. Data on county-to-county commuters by means of transportation is not yet available and is expected summer 2003.

 

1.  Largest Bay Area Commute Markets, 2000

 

The largest county-to-county commute markets in the Bay Area are typically the intra-county worker flows in the largest counties: Santa Clara, Alameda, San Francisco and Contra Costa. The largest of these is the intra-Santa Clara County market, at nearly 728 thousand daily workers living-and-working in Santa Clara.

 

Rank

County of Residence

County of Work

Total Workers, 2000

1

Santa Clara

Santa Clara

727,900

2

Alameda

Alameda

453,900

3

San Francisco

San Francisco

322,000

4

Contra Costa

Contra Costa

254,700

5

San Mateo

San Mateo

206,100

 

 

2.  Largest Bay Area Inter-County Commute Markets, 2000

 

Contra Costa-to-Alameda is the largest inter-county commute market in the Bay Area in 2000. Contra Costa-to-Alameda was also the largest inter-county commute market in 1990, and San Mateo to San Francisco was the largest inter-county commute market in the Bay Area in 1980.

 

Rank

County of Residence

County of Work

Total Workers, 2000

1

Contra Costa

Alameda

95,900

2

Alameda

San Francisco

72,000

3

San Mateo

San Francisco

71,700

4

Alameda

Santa Clara

69,700

5

San Mateo

Santa Clara

55,500

 

 

3.  Largest Change in Bay Area Commute Markets, 1990-2000

 

The largest absolute growth in the Bay Area commute is for workers living-and-working in Sonoma County. The intra-Sonoma commute increased by 29,900 average daily commuters, or +19.4 percent, between 1990 and 2000.  The other largest growing markets are also intra-county commute markets, including San Francisco (+22,100 workers), Alameda (+20,700 workers), Santa Clara (+17,300 workers) and Contra Costa (+17,200 workers).

 

 

Rank

County of Residence

County of Work

Total Workers, 1990

Total Workers, 2000

Change, 1990-2000

% Change, 1990-2000

1

Sonoma

Sonoma

154,300

184,400

29,900

+19.4%

2

San Francisco

San Francisco

299,900

322,000

22,100

+7.4%

3

Alameda

Alameda

433,200

453,900

20,700

+4.8%

4

Santa Clara

Santa Clara

710,600

727,900

17,300

+2.4%

5

Contra Costa

Contra Costa

237,500

254,700

17,200

+7.2%

 

 

4.  Largest Change in Bay Area Inter-County Commute Markets, 1990-2000

 

The largest absolute growth in inter-county commuting is for workers residing in Alameda and commuting to jobs in Santa Clara County. This market increased by 16,600 average daily commuters between 1990 and 2000, a 31.3 percent increase. Interestingly, the reverse commute from Santa Clara residences to Alameda County jobs is the second fastest growing inter-county commute market, increasing by 12,800 daily workers, or +52.9 percent.

 

 

Rank

County of Residence

County of Work

Total Workers, 1990

Total Workers, 2000

Change, 1990-2000

% Change, 1990-2000

1

Alameda

Santa Clara

53,100

69,700

16,600

+31.3%

2

Santa Clara

Alameda

24,200

37,000

12,800

+52.9%

3

Contra Costa

Alameda

83,400

95,900

12,500

+15.0%

4

Alameda

San Francisco

60,500

72,000

11,500

+19.0%

5

San Mateo

Santa Clara

44,000

55,500

11,500

+26.2%

 

 

5.  Largest Change in Bay Area Commute Markets, 1980-2000

 

Over a twenty year period the largest change in Bay Area commute markets is for workers living-and-working in Santa Clara County. The intra-Santa Clara commute has increased from nearly 600 thousand workers in 1980 to nearly 728 thousand workers in 2000, a 21.8 percent increase over twenty years. Intra-Sonoma and intra-Contra Costa are also showing significant increases over twenty years.

 

 

Rank

County of Residence

County of Work

Total Workers, 1980

Total Workers, 2000

Change, 1980-2000

% Change, 1980-2000

1

Santa Clara

Santa Clara

597,800

727,900

130,100

+21.8%

2

Sonoma

Sonoma

106,000

184,400

78,400

+74.0%

3

Contra Costa

Contra Costa

177,000

254,700

77,700

+43.9%

4

Alameda

Alameda

387,400

453,900

66,500

+17.2%

5

Alameda

Santa Clara

27,500

69,700

42,200

+153.5%

 

 

6.  Largest Percent Change in Bay Area Commute Markets, 1990-2000

 

The commute markets with the largest percent increase over the 1990 to 2000 are also fairly small in overall size. This table is restricted to flows where the 1990 total worker flow is at least 500 daily workers. The largest percent increase markets are typically inter-regional commute flows, including Merced-to-Santa Clara (+406%), Monterey-to-Santa Clara (+141%) and San Benito-to-Santa Clara (+114%). The largest percent increase in intra-Bay Area commutes is the cross-North Bay commute from Solano-to-Marin (+131%). Another very interesting pattern is the near doubling of commuters residing in San Francisco County and working in Santa Clara County.

 

 

Rank

County of Residence

County of Work

Total Workers, 1990

Total Workers, 2000

Change, 1990-2000

% Change, 1990-2000

1

Merced

Santa Clara

682

3,449

2,767

+405.7%

2

Monterey

Santa Clara

2,402

5,799

3,397

+141.4%

3

Solano

Marin

1,913

4,418

2,505

+130.9%

4

San Benito

Santa Clara

3,767

8,054

4,287

+113.8%

5

Solano

Sonoma

1,105

2,334

1,229

+111.2%

6

San Joaquin

Santa Clara

3,380

7,046

3,666

+108.5%

7

Contra Costa

Marin

3,280

6,803

3,523

+107.4%

8

Santa Cruz

Alameda

698

1,419

721

+103.3%

9

San Francisco

Santa Clara

7,992

15,868

7,876

+98.5%

10

San Joaquin

San Mateo

755

1,434

679

+89.9%

 

 

7.  Largest Decreases in Bay Area Commute Markets, 1990-2000

 

Not all commute markets are increasing over the 1990 to 2000 time period. Several significant commute markets are showing decreases over this ten year period, leading with the sizable prime direction commutes from San Mateo-to-San Francisco (-9.0%) and Marin-to-San Francisco (-8.2%).

 

 

Rank

County of Residence

County of Work

Total Workers, 1990

Total Workers, 2000

Change, 1990-2000

% Change, 1990-2000

1

San Mateo

San Francisco

78,832

71,702

-7,130

-9.0%

2

Marin

San Francisco

33,656

30,894

-2,762

-8.2%

3

Napa

Solano

5,805

3,756

-2,049

-35.3%

4

San Mateo

Contra Costa

3,715

1,789

-1,926

-51.8%

5

San Francisco

Contra Costa

5,747

4,568

-1,179

-20.5%

6

Marin

Contra Costa

3,428

2,740

-688

-20.1%

7

Marin

San Mateo

3,212

2,614

-598

-18.6%

8

Marin

Alameda

5,256

4,729

-527

-10.0%

9

San Mateo

Marin

1,406

973

-435

-30.9%

10

Marin

Solano

845

610

-235

-27.8%

 

 

8.  Largest Inter-Regional Bay Area Commute Markets, 1990-2000

 

The historically as well as currently largest inter-county commute market is Santa Cruz workers commuting to Santa Clara jobs. The Santa Cruz-to-Santa Clara commute increased by 22.1 percent between 1990 and 2000. The largest growth in inter-regional commuting between 1990 and 2000 is the San Joaquin-to-Alameda County market, increasing by nearly eight thousand daily commuters, or +66.4 percent. Other inter-regional commute markets showing a significant increase are: Monterey-to-Santa Clara (+3,400 commuters, 1990-2000) and Merced-to-Santa Clara (+2,800 commuters, 1990-2000). The largest out-commute markets (from the Bay Area to neighboring counties) are Solano-to-Sacramento (4,500 daily commuters) and Solano-to-Yolo (3,600 daily commuters).

 

 

Rank

County of Residence

County of Work

Total Workers, 1990

Total Workers, 2000

Change, 1990-2000

% Change, 1990-2000

1

Santa Cruz

Santa Clara

17,645

21,540

3,895

+22.1%

2

San Joaquin

Alameda

11,989

19,954

7,965

+66.4%

3

San Benito

Santa Clara

3,767

8,054

4,287

+113.8%

4

San Joaquin

Santa Clara

3,380

7,046

3,666

+108.5%

5

Stanislaus

Alameda

4,941

6,840

1,899

+38.4%

6

Monterey

Santa Clara

2,402

5,799

3,397

+141.4%

7

Solano

Sacramento

3,316

4,526

1,210

+36.5%

8

Stanislaus

Santa Clara

3,605

3,822

217

+6.0%

9

San Joaquin

Contra Costa

2,805

3,669

864

+30.8%

10

Solano

Yolo

2,658

3,571

913

+34.3%