Table 3
Final Home-to-Work Departure Time Choice Model
Binomial Logit Model #18W and Model #19W

Peak
Utility
Variable Name Model #18W Model #19W
Coeff. T-Stat Coeff. T-Stat
# Constant -0.2877 (5.8) -0.1309 (9.5)
# CTFT -0.05540 (3.0) -0.05556 (3.0)
# SR Dummy 0.2946 (2.7) 0.2953 (2.7)
# Auto Distance 5.153E-02 (4.6) 5.254E-02 (4.7)
# Auto Distance^2 -8.366E-04 (3.7) -8.464E-04 (3.8)
# Bridge Dummy -0.3912 (2.0) -0.387 (1.9)
# HH Income 2.861E-06 (1.9)
# SFOBB WB -0.6447 (1.8) -0.6496 (1.8)
# Retail Industry -0.3421 (2.0) -0.3515 (2.1)
Log Likelihood -1391.6 -1393.5


Utility(Off-Peak) = 0
Utility(Peak) = constant + beta01 * CTFT . . . etc.

Variable Definitions:
CTFT = Congested Time Less Free-Flow Time, zone-to-zone
SR Dummy = Share Ride 2+ Dummy variable
Auto Distance = Door-to-door auto distance, in miles
Auto Distance^2 = Square of door-to-door auto distance, in miles
Bridge Dummy = Bridge crossing dummy variable (based on drive alone toll)
HH Income = Household income in 1989 constant dollars
SFOBB WB = Bay Bridge AM Westbound dummy variable
Retail Industry = Retail occupation, by zone of work

Log Likelihood Ratio Test: 95% change that Model #18W is statistically significantly
better than MOdel #19W, 2*(1393.5 - 1391.6) = 3.8, at 1 degrees of freedom

Note: in the final MTC model system application, model #19W is used.


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