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Regional Growth Trends

In preparing the Draft 2001 Regional Transportation Plan (see story), MTC employed the latest in computer-based modeling to predict travel patterns in the year 2025. As illustrated by the chart below, if current trends continue, the growth in Bay Area jobs will outpace the growth in population. This mismatch will spur a huge increase in the number of workers commuting to the Bay Area from surrounding counties. Automobiles will continue to be the dominant mode, accounting for about 82 percent of all the trips taken in the Bay Area in 2025. But the number of trips taken on transit, on bikes or by pedestrians actually will rise more sharply than the number of automobile trips.
Key Bay Area Indicators 2025
2025 Totals and Percentage Change From 2000
Indicator 2025 Totals % change from 2000
Bay Area Population 8,224,000 persons +23%
Mean Household Income (2001 dollars) $119,290 +24%
Bay Area Employment 4,907,000 jobs +40%
Bay Area Employed Residents 4,625,000 workers +37%
Net In-commute From Outside Area 282,000 workers +66%
Total Daily Trips 26,227,000 trips +30%
Daily Vehicle Driver Trips 21,566,000 trips +27%
Daily Transit Trips 1,618,000 linked trips* +43%
Commercial Vehicle Trips 356,000 trips +32%
Nonmotorized Trips (all purposes) 3,043,000 trips +43%
Daily Vehicle Miles of Travel 191,000,000 vehicle miles +48%
Average Commute Travel Time 34 minutes +26%
Average Commute Length 14 miles +16%
*Linked trips may include use of more than one transit system.

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